Truth and Xinhua

Every so often, the show falters. An assistant presses the wrong button, and we get a glimpse of the reality behind the curtain.

BEIJING, Sept. 25 (UPI) -- China's state-run news agency made a gaffe Thursday when it published an "in space" conversation among the Chinese astronauts even before they left Earth.

Xinhua news agency posted the story on its Web site well before the launch of the Shenzhou VII space craft, The Times of London reported.

The story, which was headlined "Sleepless Night on the Pacific, Sidelights on the Observation and Control of the 30th Lap of the Shenzhou 7 Spaceship," was removed from the Xinhua Web site and was described as a technical error.

Retiring the PSPT Ticker

So People Support, after seeing its stock drop to $8 in July, agreed to be bought by Aegis BPO, for $12.25 a share. The $250 million transaction is supposed to close this October, when the Philippine-based company becomes another part of India's sprawling Essar Group, which is into such businesses as steel, oil, and mobile phones.

Whatever happened to creating "shareholder value" when PSPT rejected the $15 per share offer of IPVG?

ACt 2: PeopleSupport

The dance has entered its next phase. After PeopleSupport (PSPT) rejected a bid by IPVG for $15 a share, it is now on the receiving end of a revised $17 all-cash counter offer. PSPT can no longer treat this bid in the same way it treated the first -- a brush off with a curt letter.

A copy of the IPVG (IP) letter to Mr. Rosenzweig available here.

It is unfortunate that the Board of Directors of the Company has not engaged us in serious discussions despite repeated attempts to have confidential dialogues regarding our proposal. We are also disappointed that the directors do not see the merit of our proposal despite the fact that it is directly beneficial to the shareholders of the Company.

However, upon careful deliberation of the recent initiatives, revised earnings guidance, and new strategic planning the Company announced in its statement of December 12, 2007, we are prepared to make a revised proposal to acquire the Company at a purchase price of $17.00/share. This new proposal represents approximately 34.81% premium to the Company’s 60-day weighted average closing price of $12.61/share including the close of market yesterday, January 10, 2008.

As the major shareholder of PSPT, much rests on how Chairman & CEO Lance Rosenzweig wants to finish this. If he is truly ready to give up PSPT, then he merely needs to extract as much cash as possible, and the best way to maximize the final price is to get another dance partner.

If he wants to hang on, he'll need to bring lots more ammunition vs IPVG, rather than just PowerPoints and press releases about how rosy the picture is for PSPT remaining an independent company. Many PSPT shareholders with lawyers on speed dial won't hesitate to sue if he gives up this opportunity to cash out. No need to bet what Galleon (24% owners of PSPT) are advising Lance to do.

It's been more than a month since IPVG made its first unsolicited offer, ample time for any other interested party to emerge from the woodworks. Our call: we are coming close to a final price.

Medical Fallout

There's always a downside. Here's one view of the human cost not carried on the balance sheets of India's mighty BPO industry.

There's mounting medical evidence that if people are forced to stay up night after night their biorhythms are disrupted and they are liable to pay a cost in terms of both physical and psychological health. Elevated pay isn't sufficient compensation for a heart attack brought on at 30. We can't drive young people into the BPO industry by painting a superficially alluring image of its rewards, then shrug and turn away when they face serious health issues. Experts are concerned that the brewing crisis could undermine India's economic boom, which has been driven to a large extent by the services sector. A study by the Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations estimated that heart diseases, strokes and diabetes cost India $9 billion in lost productivity in 2005. They forecast this figure to grow to a whopping $200 billion in the next decade, with the IT sector predicted to be among the hardest-hit.

I won't be a pied piper singing the praises of the capitalism system, but the long-term view argues for us to have faith. When an industry's health woes become a big enough problem, the solutions will come. If entrepreneurs have set up bars catering to the graveyard shift workers -- blackened windows to simulate night even though it's noontime -- why can't a whole city be transformed? Interiors of buildings are now made to follow the daylight hours of countries halfway around the globe; why can't the district where the building belongs also follow those same hours? If the human body can't evolve to cope with altered circadian rhythms, why the environment will have to be reshaped. If we all live on borrowed time, why can't we advance that clock +12 hours?

Getting to 20% With Ayala

As eTelecare's (ETEL) shares tumbled, the Philippines' oldest conglomerate and owner of the country's biggest bank and biggest real-estate company made good on its intentions to boost its stake.

According to information reported by Ayala Corp. to US regulators, the conglomerate now owns 6.39 million ETEL shares, or 22.22% of the BPO. Ayala first bought into ETEL in June 2006, when press reports said it paid about 800 million pesos for 11% of the company, using LiveIt Solutions Inc. as its investment vehicle.

The shares may have just been transferred from one Ayala pocket to another. Check out Ayala Corp.'s US SEC filing. There are more layers in this than a wedding cake: Ayala wholly owns Azalea International Venture Partners Ltd., which wholly owns LiveIt Investments Ltd., which in turn wholly owns Newbridge International Investment Ltd. Newbridge, after all, was an original investor in eTelecare. In an early November filing, Ayala said additional investments in eTelecare were for "investment purposes."

Ayala Corporation currently intends, depending on market and other conditions, and in its sole discretion, to consider acquiring additional Shares of the Issuer and thereby increase its total beneficial ownership interest to 20% of total outstanding Shares on a fully diluted basis (or approximately 22% of the Issuer’s total current outstanding Shares on an undiluted basis), in order, among other things, to allow Ayala Corporation to account for its Shares under the equity method of accounting.

Even then, it's usually a good sign when a major shareholder puts it on record that it is the shareholder on record, instead of burying it in an offshore vehicle domiciled in some balmy tax haven. After all, Ayala will not want to get above the 20% threshold if it's expecting poor performance from ETEL going forward.

People Say The Price Isn't Right

On the same day that it rejected a cash bid from IPVG Corp. to buy the company for $15 a share, PeopleSupport came out with a bullish forecast, saying it would generate more revenue and earnings than analysts had expected.

LOS ANGELES (AP) -- PeopleSupport Inc., an offshore business process outsourcing provider, said Wednesday it expects its fiscal 2008 profit to beat Wall Street's expectations. The company forecast income between 65 cents and 81 cents per share in 2008, with revenue of $180 million to $190 million. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial predict earnings of 57 cents per share on revenue of $170.8 million.

Not all the pieces of the unfolding drama are visible on the board. The unsolicited IPVG bid, in the parlance of bankers, put PSPT "into play." Now the usual drill in this scenario is to reject the first buyout offer and holdout for more; from the shadows other bidders will emerge. You can be sure that teams from other BPOs are now crunching numbers with their favorite investment bankers to see if they should battle for PSPT and top IPVG's $15/share offer.

In the PSPT's press release, PSPT quoted its independent director Frank Perna as saying, “We have carefully reviewed the proposal and believe it to be inadequate and not to merit further attention. We have also reviewed the strategic plans in place for the Company and believe that the implementation of those plans is the best way to enhance shareholder value at this time."

The translation: we have a price at which we will sell.

eTelecare Loses It

How would you like to be the relationship manager at eTelecare Global Solutions who just lost a major account? The Manila-based company, which debuted on the Nasdaq just a few months ago, saw its shares drop below its IPO price after it disclosed that the "significant client" cancelled a program that brought in $15.6 million in revenue during the first half of 2007.

Customer churn is part and parcel of the BPO business, but when you are a newbie company touting the superiority of your outsourcing practices, losing a major customer deals a body blow to your reputation.

eTelecare expects 2007 annual revenues to be in the range of $240 million to $250 million, with net income of $19.2 million to $21.5 million, or $0.63 to $0.71 per diluted ADS. This compares to the previous guidance for 2007 annual revenues in the range of $250 million to $260 million, with net income of $22 million to $25 million, or $0.72 to $0.82 per diluted ADS.

Which customer did the BPO lose? From ETEL's prospectus:

As of December 31, 2006, we had 21 active clients for which we had performed 51 different programs since January 2006. We have a particular expertise in communications, technology and financial services. We also serve clients in the travel and hospitality, media and retail industries. Our largest clients in terms of revenue are American Express, AOL, Cingular, Dell, Intuit, Sprint and Vonage.

Buy Now

Short items from Indian press reports that Infosys will buy the BPO operations of Philips Electronics NV. When it closes, it will be another item in the on-going rejigging of the BPO industry. Captive operations become part of independents. And operations that managers once thought vital or contained too many secrets to let outsiders peek at them now become outsource-able. What was it I heard at a cocktail party recently? In rapidly-changing businesses, there are no secrets. Just speed of execution.

India's second-biggest software-maker will be taking over all the costs of this acquisition, similar to the manner in which rival Tata Consultancy Services bought the operations of UK's Pearl Group insurers, the website reported. The acquisition will add to Infosys current BPO unit, which has close to 11,000 employees, providing the company with round-the-clock processing, the report
added.

Here's Times of India's take:

Infosys Technologies is said to be close to acquiring the finance and accounting BPO arm of Philips Global. The Philips arm has an employee strength of 1,500 globally, including a 500 strong force in Chennai. The other facilities are in Warsaw and Bangkok. The BPO arm is said to have assured revenues of $200 million spread over five years.

ePLDT's SPI Making Deals in India

Here's another little tidbit on the globalization front. SPI, a Philippine BPO owned by the nation's largest telecommunications company, is looking to buy Indian companies as it expands its presence in the subcontinent. In the meantime, Indian companies are scouting in SPI's backyard for suitable acquisition candidates in the race to bulk up and develop a full service line. Now which of the many BPO companies around today will become the household name in 2020?

Global healthcare, legal and publishing business process outsourcing company SPi is looking out for suitable acquisitions in India. Ernest L Cu, president and chief executive officer of the Philippines-headquartered Spi, said the company has allocated $50 million for mergers and acquisitions. The company is in talks with investment bankers and is considering several proposals, Cu said while addressing the media here on Wednesday. According to Cu, SPi plans to move its medical billing work to India from the US. He said the setting up of new delivery centre in Chennai and the cost differential between the US and India has made the company favour shifting of medical billing business to Chennai in eight months. The business has the potential to create 150 new jobs. SPi Technologies inaugurated its new 17,000 sq ft facility in the city on Wednesday. The 1,100-seat facility will house the company's publishing and healthcare business operations. The new centre will be the company's fourth in the country after Pondicherry, Coimbatore and New Delhi. Cu said the Indian company would increase its headcount by 700 by the end of this year. In 2003, SPi through its wholly owned Indian subsidiary SPi Technologies Private Ltd
acquired the Pondicherry-based Kolam Information Services Private Ltd, a book
publishing BPO. Two years later, it acquired the medical transcriptions business
of KG Information Services and Technologies Private Ltd in Coimbatore.

Bagging The Citi

Would you buy a business from a bank? Would you buy a business that is solely dependent on that bank? Citibank is close to a sale of its captive BPO, according to Indian press reports. The information asymmetry seems to favor Citibank, since who better knows the bank's prospects -- and the outsourcing potential going forward -- than itself.


If you're a buyer, it makes sense to pay the reported $1.2 billion price if you're confident you can cut costs in the unit faster or deeper than Citi thinks, and if you can use the Citibank BPO as a platform to acquire other bank customers. What better calling card than to say to future customers, "The largest bank in the world outsources to me."

Citigroup's BPO arm, Citigroup Global Services, is likely to find a new owner in a week. Surprisingly, big names like IBM, Infosys, TCS and Blackstone, which were in the race for the BPO firm, have fallen by the wayside, citing expensive valuations. The fight is now between half a dozen suitors comprising Genpact, First Source, WNS, 3i and a couple of private equity investors. Citigroup's BPO arm was recently put on the block and is likely to be valued around $1.2 billion. "The multiples are going to be pretty high here.

That means the buyers require to cough up anything up to $1.2 billion. Third party BPO firms in India are yet to have such deep pockets. Again, sinking large chunks of money upfront on a non-core cause may not be the right option for domestic IT services providers. That clearly leaves the game with big boys like IBM and monied PE guys who are willing to wait for ROI and capable of taking risk,'' says Pari Natarajan, CEO, Zinnov, a Silicon Valley-based offshore research and consulting firm.
For Genpact, the former captive unit of GE, this acquisition would reaffirm its leadership position in the country, while for WNS, acquiring Citigroup Global would give it a presence in the financial services sector. WNS, a legal service and financial services company, has made a few unsuccessful attempts to add financial services to its portfolio and is looking to make a splash by bagging this deal.First Source, on the other hand, is already a specialised player in the banking and insurance sector and the addition of the Citigroup's captive unit will bring them practices that banks usually don't outsource to third party players.