Converging on the Mall

Somebody forgot to give the folks at Convergys the memo about the global economic slowdown. OK, so maybe the decision to build the outsourcing company's biggest facility in the Philippines was made in better times. But now CVG's got room to add another 2,050 employees when it already is one of the largest BPO employers in the country.

And it goes to show that the outsourcing model remains intact: serve First World companies' needs using labor from Third World countries. But the modern day equivalent of the sweatshop involves having your workers report for work at one of the country's swankiest malls.

Convergys Corp., a customer relationship management company, will open its 12th and the largest facility in the Philippines.

President Gloria Arroyo will lead the dedication of the new facility on Thursday, Oct. 22. The facility encompasses over 17,000 square meters located in Glorietta 5 along Ayala Avenue in Makati City and can hold 2,050 employees.

It is the first Convergys site to offer the convenience of a shopping mall on its lower floors and includes executive and administrative offices, training rooms, conference rooms, and employee lounges.

Convergys has experienced an unprecedented growth in its six years of operations in the Philippines. From 200 employees upon opening just six years ago, it now counts over 17,500 employees on sites across Metro Manila, Cebu, Bacolod and Sta. Rosa, Laguna.

Convergys employs more than 70,000 people across its facilities.

Convergys is now the largest BPO provider in Cebu City with over 3,300 employees throughout three contact center facilities.

Within five years, Convergys has established 12 contact centers in the Philippines - seven located in Metro Manila, three in Cebu City, one in Bacolod City, and one in Santa Rosa, Laguna.

Dispersing to the Periphery

One thousand new jobs in a city of 12 million may not be too exciting. One thousand jobs in a city of half a million is something to write home about. In the Philippines' Visayas region, Iloilo is fast becoming a favored destination. It's no surprise that a city with six universities and thousands of fresh graduates a year would become a viable location for outsourcing companies. Other wannabee cities looking to boost development need remember that besides the available labor pool, another ingredient is necessary -- reliable telecommunication links to the rest of the world -- before they prepare the powerpoint presentations to lure companies to their neck of the woods.

Transcom, touted to be Europe's largest business process outsourcing (BPO) firm, will open a call center in Iloilo in 2009, and will hire from 1,000 to 2,000 employees.

The investment is expected to cement the city's place among the top new wave international BPO sites.

Iloilo City Mayor Jerry Treñas said Transcom has set the hiring of around 1,060 employees in October. It is planning to double its work force after it starts its operations, according to Treñas.

Transcom has 75 sites in 29 countries worldwide and has expertise in various industries including telecommunications, the financial industry, travel and leisure, utilities and retail/consumer goods. It has around 20,000 employees serving over 120 major clients in more than 30 languages.

The investment has also affirmed the city as among the top new BPO investment sites in the world.

The city already hosts nine BPOs with more than 4,000 workers. These include Teletech, ePLDT Ventus, Callbox Customer Contact Center, Global Mega Communications Inc., Techno Call Corp., Interactive Voice Call Center, Medlink Trans Services, Eversun Software Philippines Corp., and Savant Technologies.

BPO Slowdown

The red-hot BPO industry is declaring that 2009 will be a slower growth year after the torrid expansion in the past few years. The blame is put not just on the global recession but the rising protectionist sentiment in the U.S., the Philippines' largest market.

Half-full-glass analysts will tell you this is the welcome pause that refreshes. No industry can sustain big jumps in production without bumping up against constraints. And for the longest time, the constraint has not been external demand. The problem has been mostly internal: the country's ability to provide labor. Or rather, we should say labor is not a problem, as any recruiting agency will tell you; it's the limited supply of labor with the right skills that has limited growth.

Now that external demand is slackening, the industry can turn more attention to those internal problems, those what managers will call "variables we can control." There's nothing we can do to influence the U.S. recession; there's everything we can do to make sure Philippine schools are turning out qualified graduates, training seminars are truly training employees, and programs to upgrade technical skills are implemented.

CICT Commissioner Monchito Ibrahim said that despite the setback, the industry is still expecting 30-percent growth this year to some $8 billion, and plans to increase the number of new jobs by a fifth or 75,000 jobs. He said the BPO industry ended 2008 with 372,000 jobs.

The revenue projection was taken from the Business Processing Association of the Philippines (Bpap) Roadmap 2010, a three-year plan that aims to double the country’s worldwide market share and achieve $13 billion in revenues, as well as provide direct employment to 1 million people.

Ibrahim said the slowdown was due to a number of factors, including the global financial crisis which has hurt the US, the country’s only major partner in the BPO industry. The lack of workers with necessary skills was also a key constraint.

Changing Meralco's Leadership

It's one of the biggest business stories of the year. Family of the nation's largest power distributor gives up controlling stake to nation's largest telecommunications company. Tectonic shifts in the Philippines' corporate firmament of this magnitude happen once in a generation.

What does the main daily reduce it to? A family squabble.

Despite statements that all is well and that the family is still as tight-knit as ever, the Lopez family saga over the sale of most of the family’s shares in power distributor Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) to the Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. (PLDT) group continues.

For the first time, Mike Lopez, son of Meralco chairman and chief executive Manuel Lopez, lashed back at people who say his father had known about the decision to sell down the family’s Meralco stake from day one.

“We were not privy at all to the negotiations from day one. Saying that we were, is a grave injustice to my dad’s name,” he told the Philippine Daily Inquirer in a telephone interview Wednesday.

Truth and Xinhua

Every so often, the show falters. An assistant presses the wrong button, and we get a glimpse of the reality behind the curtain.

BEIJING, Sept. 25 (UPI) -- China's state-run news agency made a gaffe Thursday when it published an "in space" conversation among the Chinese astronauts even before they left Earth.

Xinhua news agency posted the story on its Web site well before the launch of the Shenzhou VII space craft, The Times of London reported.

The story, which was headlined "Sleepless Night on the Pacific, Sidelights on the Observation and Control of the 30th Lap of the Shenzhou 7 Spaceship," was removed from the Xinhua Web site and was described as a technical error.

Retiring the PSPT Ticker

So People Support, after seeing its stock drop to $8 in July, agreed to be bought by Aegis BPO, for $12.25 a share. The $250 million transaction is supposed to close this October, when the Philippine-based company becomes another part of India's sprawling Essar Group, which is into such businesses as steel, oil, and mobile phones.

Whatever happened to creating "shareholder value" when PSPT rejected the $15 per share offer of IPVG?

ACt 2: PeopleSupport

The dance has entered its next phase. After PeopleSupport (PSPT) rejected a bid by IPVG for $15 a share, it is now on the receiving end of a revised $17 all-cash counter offer. PSPT can no longer treat this bid in the same way it treated the first -- a brush off with a curt letter.

A copy of the IPVG (IP) letter to Mr. Rosenzweig available here.

It is unfortunate that the Board of Directors of the Company has not engaged us in serious discussions despite repeated attempts to have confidential dialogues regarding our proposal. We are also disappointed that the directors do not see the merit of our proposal despite the fact that it is directly beneficial to the shareholders of the Company.

However, upon careful deliberation of the recent initiatives, revised earnings guidance, and new strategic planning the Company announced in its statement of December 12, 2007, we are prepared to make a revised proposal to acquire the Company at a purchase price of $17.00/share. This new proposal represents approximately 34.81% premium to the Company’s 60-day weighted average closing price of $12.61/share including the close of market yesterday, January 10, 2008.

As the major shareholder of PSPT, much rests on how Chairman & CEO Lance Rosenzweig wants to finish this. If he is truly ready to give up PSPT, then he merely needs to extract as much cash as possible, and the best way to maximize the final price is to get another dance partner.

If he wants to hang on, he'll need to bring lots more ammunition vs IPVG, rather than just PowerPoints and press releases about how rosy the picture is for PSPT remaining an independent company. Many PSPT shareholders with lawyers on speed dial won't hesitate to sue if he gives up this opportunity to cash out. No need to bet what Galleon (24% owners of PSPT) are advising Lance to do.

It's been more than a month since IPVG made its first unsolicited offer, ample time for any other interested party to emerge from the woodworks. Our call: we are coming close to a final price.

Medical Fallout

There's always a downside. Here's one view of the human cost not carried on the balance sheets of India's mighty BPO industry.

There's mounting medical evidence that if people are forced to stay up night after night their biorhythms are disrupted and they are liable to pay a cost in terms of both physical and psychological health. Elevated pay isn't sufficient compensation for a heart attack brought on at 30. We can't drive young people into the BPO industry by painting a superficially alluring image of its rewards, then shrug and turn away when they face serious health issues. Experts are concerned that the brewing crisis could undermine India's economic boom, which has been driven to a large extent by the services sector. A study by the Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations estimated that heart diseases, strokes and diabetes cost India $9 billion in lost productivity in 2005. They forecast this figure to grow to a whopping $200 billion in the next decade, with the IT sector predicted to be among the hardest-hit.

I won't be a pied piper singing the praises of the capitalism system, but the long-term view argues for us to have faith. When an industry's health woes become a big enough problem, the solutions will come. If entrepreneurs have set up bars catering to the graveyard shift workers -- blackened windows to simulate night even though it's noontime -- why can't a whole city be transformed? Interiors of buildings are now made to follow the daylight hours of countries halfway around the globe; why can't the district where the building belongs also follow those same hours? If the human body can't evolve to cope with altered circadian rhythms, why the environment will have to be reshaped. If we all live on borrowed time, why can't we advance that clock +12 hours?

Getting to 20% With Ayala

As eTelecare's (ETEL) shares tumbled, the Philippines' oldest conglomerate and owner of the country's biggest bank and biggest real-estate company made good on its intentions to boost its stake.

According to information reported by Ayala Corp. to US regulators, the conglomerate now owns 6.39 million ETEL shares, or 22.22% of the BPO. Ayala first bought into ETEL in June 2006, when press reports said it paid about 800 million pesos for 11% of the company, using LiveIt Solutions Inc. as its investment vehicle.

The shares may have just been transferred from one Ayala pocket to another. Check out Ayala Corp.'s US SEC filing. There are more layers in this than a wedding cake: Ayala wholly owns Azalea International Venture Partners Ltd., which wholly owns LiveIt Investments Ltd., which in turn wholly owns Newbridge International Investment Ltd. Newbridge, after all, was an original investor in eTelecare. In an early November filing, Ayala said additional investments in eTelecare were for "investment purposes."

Ayala Corporation currently intends, depending on market and other conditions, and in its sole discretion, to consider acquiring additional Shares of the Issuer and thereby increase its total beneficial ownership interest to 20% of total outstanding Shares on a fully diluted basis (or approximately 22% of the Issuer’s total current outstanding Shares on an undiluted basis), in order, among other things, to allow Ayala Corporation to account for its Shares under the equity method of accounting.

Even then, it's usually a good sign when a major shareholder puts it on record that it is the shareholder on record, instead of burying it in an offshore vehicle domiciled in some balmy tax haven. After all, Ayala will not want to get above the 20% threshold if it's expecting poor performance from ETEL going forward.

People Say The Price Isn't Right

On the same day that it rejected a cash bid from IPVG Corp. to buy the company for $15 a share, PeopleSupport came out with a bullish forecast, saying it would generate more revenue and earnings than analysts had expected.

LOS ANGELES (AP) -- PeopleSupport Inc., an offshore business process outsourcing provider, said Wednesday it expects its fiscal 2008 profit to beat Wall Street's expectations. The company forecast income between 65 cents and 81 cents per share in 2008, with revenue of $180 million to $190 million. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial predict earnings of 57 cents per share on revenue of $170.8 million.

Not all the pieces of the unfolding drama are visible on the board. The unsolicited IPVG bid, in the parlance of bankers, put PSPT "into play." Now the usual drill in this scenario is to reject the first buyout offer and holdout for more; from the shadows other bidders will emerge. You can be sure that teams from other BPOs are now crunching numbers with their favorite investment bankers to see if they should battle for PSPT and top IPVG's $15/share offer.

In the PSPT's press release, PSPT quoted its independent director Frank Perna as saying, “We have carefully reviewed the proposal and believe it to be inadequate and not to merit further attention. We have also reviewed the strategic plans in place for the Company and believe that the implementation of those plans is the best way to enhance shareholder value at this time."

The translation: we have a price at which we will sell.